First SPECS forecast verification workshop

Workshop outline:

• Theory (ca. 1 hour):
  • probabilistic forecast verification
  • ensemble verification
  • fair scores
  • rank histogram
  • statistical testing, bootstrapping
• Hands on session (ca. 1 hour):
  • presentation of the R functions
  • live ensemble verification of toy model data
  • live ensemble verification of s2d ensemble forecasts
• Discussion (ca. 1 hour):
  • user feedback
  • requests and ideas for more verification methods
  • open questions