First SPECS forecast verification workshop

Workshop outline:

  • Theory (ca. 1 hour):
    • probabilistic forecast verification
    • ensemble verification
    • fair scores
    • rank histogram
    • statistical testing, bootstrapping
  • Hands on session (ca. 1 hour):
    • presentation of the R functions
    • live ensemble verification of toy model data
    • live ensemble verification of s2d ensemble forecasts
  • Discussion (ca. 1 hour):
    • user feedback
    • requests and ideas for more verification methods
    • open questions